MATHEMATICAL MODELLING OF CONSTRUCTION EQUIPMENT ACCIDENTS BY USE OF MARKOV CHAINS

Rosen Mitrev

Scientific paper ID 2193 : 2022/1

MATHEMATICAL MODELLING OF CONSTRUCTION EQUIPMENT ACCIDENTS BY USE OF MARKOV CHAINS

Rosen Mitrev

The present paper deals with modeling of construction equipment accidents by use of Markov chains. The developed model of accident development allows a quantitative assessment of the probability of entry of the modeled machine in a state that is a part of the accident occurrence. The model s the cause of the accident, the accident outcome and the possibility of recovering of the machine functioning. The received from the model quantitative information can be used for accident forecasting, decision-making related to the accident prevention and decreasing etc.

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вериги на Марков авария строителни машиниMarkov chain accident construction equipmentRosen Mitrev

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