BG
RU
|
Scientific paper ID 1310 : 2016/3
ANALYSIS OF THE IMPACT OF ROAD CONDITIONS ON TRAFFIC SAFETY BASED ON EXPERT JUDGMENT
Violina Velyova The method of expert judgment is often used for consulting specialists in a particular area. Unfortunately this method is not widely used in assessing the consistency of expert opinion in the field of road safety in Bulgarian conditions. For the purposes of this article are examined the opinions of two target groups: experts and ordinary road users. The importance of each of 19 factors affecting traffic safety that are connected with the road conditions and infrastructure is ranked. Influencing factors are graded according to the participants’ opinion and after that are received results for certain parameters. In order to improve the level of road safety, an analysis of the influence of above mentioned factors on traffic safety based on expert judgment method is made.
пътна безопасност експертна оценка транспортroad safety expert judgment transportViolina Velyova BIBLIOGRAPHY [1] Natsionalna strategiya za podobryavane bezopasnostta na dvizhenieto po patishtata na Republika Balgariya za perioda 2011 - 2020 g. Ministerstvoto na transporta, informatsionnite tehnologii i saobshteniyata. 2011. ( [1] Национална стратегия за подобряване безопасността на движението по пътищата на Република България за периода 2011 - 2020 г. Министерството на транспорта, информационните технологии и съобщенията. 2011. ) [2] Operativna programa „Transport i transportna infrastruktura 2014-2020“. Ministerstvoto na transporta, informatsionnite tehnologii i saobshteniyata. 2014. ( [2] Оперативна програма „Транспорт и транспортна инфраструктура 2014-2020“. Министерството на транспорта, информационните технологии и съобщенията. 2014. ) [3] Statiya ot sayta na „Ministerstvo na regionalnoto razvitie i blagoustroystvoto”- http://www.mrrb.government.bg/?controller=a... ( [3] Статия от сайта на „Mинистерство на регионалното развитие и благоустройството”- http://www.mrrb.government.bg/?controller=a... ) [4] Nikolay Georgiev. Integriran sistemen podhod kam eksploatatsionnata bezopasnost na zhelezopatniya transport. Sofiya. 2015. ( [4] Николай Георгиев. Интегриран системен подход към експлоатационната безопасност на железопътния транспорт. София. 2015. ) [5] Prilozhenie Google forms - https://docs.google.com/forms/ ( [5] Приложение Google forms - https://docs.google.com/forms/ ) [6] Labi, Samuel. Effects of Geometric Characteristics of Rural Two-Lane Roads on Safety. Joint Transportation Research Program Technical Report Series. Purdue University. 2006. [7] Manual on Uniform Traffic Control Devices (MUTCD) Federal Highway Administration. U.S. Department of Transportation. Institute of Transportation Engineers. 2004. [8] Osnovni teoretichni ponyatiya, izpolzvani v praktikata na “Natsionalen Statisticheski Institut”. Balgariya ( [8] Основни теоретични понятия, използвани в практиката на “Национален Статистически Институт”. България ) [9] Kendall’s Coefficient of Concordance (W). http://www.real-statistics.com/reliability/... [10] Harold, L., Murray, T. The Delphi Method, Techniques and Applications, http://is.njit.edu/pubs/delphibook/, 2002. [11] Ericson, C. Hazard Analysis Techniques for System Safety. John Wiley & Sons, Inc. NJ, 2005. [12] Mariya Hristova. Ekspertno otsenyavane na kachestvoto na obuchenie vav visshite uchilishta i metodi za negovata obektivizatsiya. „Mehanika, Transport, Komunikatsiya“. Visshe transportno uchilishte „Todor Kableshkov“. Broy 1. 2007. ( [12] Мария Христова. Експертно оценяване на качеството на обучение във висшите училища и методи за неговата обективизация. „Механика, Транспорт, Комуникация“. Висше транспортно училище „Тодор Каблешков“. Брой 1. 2007. ) [13] Amendments to the Guidelines for Formal Safety Assessment (Fsa) for Use in the IMO Rule-Making Process (MSC/Circ.1023 - MEPC/Circ.392). INTERNATIONAL MARITIME ORGANIZATION. London. 2006. [14] ABC Analysis. https://www.cleverism.com/complete-guide-ab... |
